Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.037019 0.040006 0.043143 0.046688 0.050587 0.054753 0.059547
2025-03-16 0.031497 0.035596 0.040138 0.045562 0.051888 0.059066 0.067866
2025-03-23 0.028080 0.032810 0.038266 0.045063 0.053361 0.063231 0.075967
2025-03-30 0.025565 0.030676 0.036764 0.044616 0.054566 0.066880 0.083471
2025-04-06 0.023356 0.028645 0.035116 0.043704 0.054938 0.069322 0.089438
2025-04-13 0.022135 0.027699 0.034677 0.044190 0.057010 0.073961 0.098539
2025-04-20 0.020895 0.026612 0.033937 0.044163 0.058314 0.077579 0.106445
2025-04-27 0.020043 0.025952 0.033680 0.044714 0.060379 0.082311 0.116249
2025-05-04 0.019009 0.024970 0.032908 0.044470 0.061261 0.085371 0.123781
2025-05-11 0.018114 0.024117 0.032244 0.044307 0.062204 0.088527 0.131655
2025-05-18 0.017275 0.023287 0.031553 0.044038 0.062938 0.091374 0.139226
2025-05-25 0.016565 0.022595 0.031009 0.043932 0.063879 0.094562 0.147564
2025-06-01 0.015728 0.021687 0.030117 0.043266 0.063931 0.096385 0.153850
2025-06-08 0.014901 0.020754 0.029138 0.042405 0.063613 0.097573 0.159137
2025-06-15 0.014261 0.020061 0.028476 0.041987 0.063956 0.099842 0.166480
2025-06-22 0.013673 0.019418 0.027853 0.041585 0.064285 0.102082 0.173938
2025-06-29 0.013018 0.018643 0.026990 0.040749 0.063829 0.102927 0.178852
2025-07-06 0.012722 0.018399 0.026930 0.041196 0.065548 0.107656 0.191539
2025-07-13 0.012333 0.017995 0.026596 0.041171 0.066444 0.110970 0.201768
2025-07-20 0.012089 0.017803 0.026587 0.041678 0.068290 0.116122 0.216162
2025-07-27 0.011699 0.017364 0.026160 0.041454 0.068814 0.118848 0.225819
2025-08-03 0.011347 0.016971 0.025790 0.041303 0.069454 0.121825 0.236281
2025-08-10 0.010995 0.016564 0.025379 0.041056 0.069894 0.124436 0.246193